auto_awesome Launching Soon! desktop_windows Best experience on desktop
Prizes & Leaderboard

What Are Your Actual Chances of Winning?

StockMates Team · October 18, 2026 · 3 min read

arrow_backBack to Blog

Every game pays its top 3 finishers, and the maths behind your odds is simpler than it looks: it just comes down to how many people are in the game, and how many of them get paid.

If a game has 100 players and the top 3 win a prize, that's a 3% chance of finishing in the money if every player had an equal, random shot — which, in practice, they don't. Your Mate's settings, how it trades, and the real market conditions during the game all move that number around, same as every other player's does.

Fewer players in a game means better odds for everyone in it, simply because there are fewer people to finish ahead of you. A 50-player game with the same top-3 payout structure gives you double the baseline share of entrants finishing in the money compared to a 100-player one.

Some games pay further down the leaderboard — not just the top 3. The more ranks that pay, the higher the base share of players who finish with something, though the prizes at lower ranks are typically smaller.

None of this is a promise about any individual player's odds — it's simple arithmetic (paid ranks divided by total players), not a guarantee or a claim about skill. Use the calculator below to try different player counts and prize tiers and see how the numbers move.

casino
Win Chance Calculator

See your odds

Every game is free to join. Pick a player count and a prize tier to see the share of players who get paid.

Players in the game

Players who win a prize

Your win chance

6%

Top 3 of 50 players win a prize

emoji_events£88 default prize pool

For illustration only, based on the player and prize counts you pick above — rankings are decided purely by each player's own performance, and both the prize amounts and the number of winners vary by game. See our Rules & Prize Terms for the full details.

Ready to try it yourself?

Pick an avatar and start trading with virtual capital in minutes.

Get Started rocket_launch
StockMates

StockMates is a fantasy skill-based stock market game using real stock market data, where customers trade using fake money to win cash prizes by finishing high on the leaderboard.

StockMates is a simulation. No real trades or orders are placed on any stock or crypto market, and no real money is invested or held. All activity is recorded in a database for entertainment and education only. StockMates is not regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), and nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, or trading advice. Simulated results do not predict or guarantee real-world performance. No purchase is necessary — every signed-up user can enter any game for free. 18+, UK only. Promoted by Intelitrade Ltd.

© 2026 Intelitrade Ltd, trading as StockMates. All rights reserved.

Intelitrade Ltd, company number 17447548. Registered office: 71-75 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London, WC2H 9JQ, United Kingdom.